Keepin' it simple today. If you enjoyed the weather yesterday, you'll enjoy today.

​Fog, drizzle, and showers return to parts of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa today through 1pm Saturday. Northeast Nebraska could stay dry with light rainfall amounts farther south from trace-0.25". Cooler highs in the 60's and 70's through the weekend.

While I know everyone didn't enjoy the weather, I hope everyone enjoyed the weather updates. If you would like to see this again next year, let me know on the page or here. As you know, weather can cause major issues for events like these,  and I'd like to see everyone stay safe and return again next year, hopefully with better weather.
​Thank you again for following!

Nothing to talk about this morning. :-) I think the competition runs have seen the last of the rain. There could be some scattered showers south of Lincoln today, and that chance will help to keep some clouds around, but for all practical purposes, the rain is over.  Temperatures will be well below normal for this time of year though, with highs running some 10 degrees or so below normal.

For today axis of precip is progged to shift southeast gradually through the day with progression of the cold front. At this point 3hr/6hr QPF per RAP13/HRRR/NB in agreement that accumulations will remain below latest FFG. Therefore will allow current Flash Flood Watch in effect over southeast NE to expire at 18z.

​For today, Lincoln will have some overrunning showers in the area, so there is still a decent chance for rain. The rain won't be as heavy as past days and the coverage will be much less. 

Unfortunately, WPC as again placed portions of the southern CWA under a slight risk for excessive rainfall tonight through Thursday night where total accumulations over the last 7 days are running roughly 300-500% of normal. All this in part to the cold front progged to stall and remain in the vicinity of the NE/KS IA/MO border and act as a trigger for additional rainfall. By Thursday night the surface boundary is progged to lift slightly to the north and allow ongoing precip to expand across the rest of the CWA.
The bottom line is that we are not out of the woods yet.

WV/IR imagery this morning showing near meridional flow over the central and southern plains resulting in a northward trajectory of precip extending southward from the CWA all the way into OK. Meanwhile GOES 16 imagery was revealing the continuous influx of moisture has pushed PWAT values close to 200 percent of normal over parts of eastern KS and most of the CWA. 

Unfortunately precip chances remain in play over the next couple days prompting WPC to include most of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa in a slight risk for excessive rainfall today through Wednesday. 

Models advertise near meridional flow with embedded impulses remaining in place over the central and southern plains through today. Radar mosaic the last several hours suggest area of precip currently lifting out of northeast KS will take a slight turn to the west through this morning with additional accumulation focused over areas already in a flash flood watch... Seward/Butler/Jefferson/Lancaster/Gage counties. Given this have opted to extend the watch up through early afternoon. 

​Another active convective day from the Plains, northeast into the MS Valley and Great Lakes region. Several well defined features at play that will likely result in a more organized flash flood threat today compared to yesterday.

The first feature is a shortwave currently moving north across OK as of 08z. The second is a cold front moving southeast across the northern Plains this morning. Third is a strengthening upper level jet from the Dakotas into MN. The shortwave moving north across OK is forecast to maintain or even become more well defined as it shifts northward through the day.

​Strong 850mb moisture transport will persist ahead and east of this wave, moving into the MS Valley by this afternoon. This wave and increased moisture transport will run into the eastward moving cold front resulting in an enhanced area of lower level convergence. By this time will also begin to see interaction with the upper level jet to the north, increasing upper level divergence above the lower level convergence signature. Thus all in all should have many synoptic ingredients in place for a heavy rainfall event. The wave moving along and just ahead of the front should allow for an axis of training convection across portions of IA/MN/WI. This will all be happening within a very moist airmass with PWs forecast around 2", which is around record values for early September.