Good afternoon. Here's the latest from the Atlanta National Weather Service office in Peachtree City regarding the potential for freezing rain and icing Monday. First, the text below is from the latest Area Forecast Discussion: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Obviously focused on late Sunday through Monday period with the update as we are getting more guidance consensus (albeit the latest Euro) on some freezing rain potential within a lingering hybrid CAD wedge. Nam and the Canadian continue to be the coldest/more robust solutions and the GFS ensemble members have all but a few indicating some freezing rain including the Atlanta Metro by Monday morning pretty much centered around 7 AM. Thermal profiles support some possible sleet transition and not much chance for snow, though primarily freezing rain given a pretty thick warm nose overrunning the wedge. Big question remains on the onset timing of precip and diabatic in-situ reinforcement potential of the wedge. Kept the temp trend slower to warm into Monday given this. Most locations should get above the freezing mark by mid to late morning. Also ended up fairly close to WPC QPF in the period and adjusted the ice accumulations to mainly upwards of 2 tenths of an inch though greater chance for closer to 1 tenth extending generally from south metro farther north. WPC keeps us in primarily the less than 1 tenth range. Will update accordingly and will need to consider Watch/Advisory products if confidence increases in this, but still too far out in period to include (also if the much drier Euro starts to trend in consistency). |
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