Good Friday morning to everyone!
We have some active weather on Lincoln's doorstep for this afternoon and evening, and I know some strong storms came through last night. If you travel with your car in a trailer, that's great. There will be a chance for some large hail and high winds, and at least in the trailer your car is relatively safe. Also, please make sure you securely tie down everything in the paddock so nothing becomes a lethal weapon in high winds.
So we need to jump right in to the Omaha NWS Discussion and follow with the thoughts of the Storm Prediction Center.
NWS Omaha Area Forecast Discussion
However, precipitation chances will increase once
More on the severe potential from the SPC
SPC Day 1 Outlook
Beneath the belt of fast southwesterly flow, a weak baroclinic zone is forecast to extend south-southwestward across the Plains, while a weak warm front lifts slowly northward across the Midwest. The specific location of the aforementioned Plains front remains uncertain -- largely due to outflow associated with ongoing convection expected to linger into the beginning of the period. As this outflow/frontal conglomerate will play a substantial role in subsequent diurnal convection, narrowing down possible areas of more concentrated risk stemming from afternoon storms.
So keep on a lookout this afternoon and evening for some strong storms to develop. Hope everyone stays safe and goes fast! :-)
Have an awesome day!
Welcome back to Lincoln and welcome back to the Lincoln weather!
Without wasting any of your time (I hope), let's get to an overview of what may be in store for the event this weekend.
The last thing that you want to hear when you're on that wide open concrete cornfield is that there is severe weather around, because there is absolutely no place to go. With that being said... there is a chance for severe weather for at least three of the days you'll be there. Keep in mind, these Risk areas are subject to change right now, and I think the area on Monday may be the one to really watch for. Either way, rain is in the forecast. No, it won't be rain like the rain that occurred at the Nationals last year, but rain like that isn't too far away, so we need to watch for any shifts in the central axis of rainfall. The 72 hour rainfall map is at the bottom of the post.
I'll be back with more updates, and I'll be watching the potential severe weather for you. With boring weather here in Atlanta, it will be a nice change. :-)
Here are the thoughts from the Omaha NWS office right now:
There could be lingering showers in the morning for eastern areas, but renewed shower/thunderstorm development is expected south of I80 Friday afternoon through Friday night, with rain chances across the entire area Saturday as another weak front settles southward into the region. It`s at that point that we`ll have to monitor for day-to-day rainfall south of I-80, and may eventually become concerned with saturated soils. Heaviest rains appear to continue to set up across KS/MO just south, but a few counties in southwest IA and extreme southeast NE could be at risk for flooding as well. Highs both Friday and Saturday in the upper 70's to lower 80's, above normal.
And these are the thoughts from the Storm Prediction Center
Precipitation through 8 am Sunday